SabertStxVii Week 2 Recap
I’m obviously pumped about the weekend. Went 6-0 on Saturday to bring the Week 2 record to 6-2 +10 units, and the season record too 11-5, +11 units. Just want to point out if I was flat betting, I’d only be up ~6 units. Here are my thoughts from the weekend and recap of each team I got a good glance at.
- Previous Maggiore’s Big 10 Football Picks – Week # 2
- Next TSE college football handicapping team goes 26-5 on Saturday!
4 thoughts on “SabertStxVii Week 2 Recap”
Leave a Reply to Pezgordo Cancel reply
MAXIMIZE YOUR EDGE
Definitely agree w/ your comment about Frazier looking pretty good against Clemson, but really bad against Miss State.
On paper Cal has the athletes on defense to slow Miller down and they have a stud WR (Keenan Allen) that can attack the Buckeye secondary. But on the field the Bears have yet to impress and QB Maynard may not be an accurate enough QB to test that secondary.
Than again, if Cal shows up they’ll give Ohio State all they can handle. Line opened at 17.5. The UCF line closed at 16. Is UCF a better football team than Cal?
Pez,
I think Frazier will figure it out. We have to remember there has been lots of turnover with coaching at Auburn, and the coach who recruited him is no longer there. I think Auburn will get better by game, as long as players stay motivated etc. (could be tough to judge). I am wary of playing them soon until I can see how they rebound from this somewhat embarassing loss. They have loads of talent in the skill player positions though.
I am also skeptical about Cal. The reason I liked UCF was because of their defense and ability to run the ball. I think with Storm picking up 4/5 a clip against this talented front 7 of OSU, the passing game really opened up and that’s where teams can attack OSU. I don’t see Cal having as disciplined of a defense as UCF. Two teams with rather skeptical offenses IMO (Nevada and So Miss) each put up 31 on Cal. They also lost their top 2 DE, top 2 LB, and top 2 secondary players from last year. This accounts for 48% of their tackles from last year. That’s a ton, especially against Braxton who is extremely tough to tackle. Cal is athletic for sure, but not as dynamic and disciplined as UCF. I think if Cal and UCF played each other, depending on location, I have it as a little over FG game in Cal’s favor. I just think they match up much worse to OSU than UCF does. They let 2 shoddy offenses put up 31, how much does OSU put up? Gotta think at least 40. Cal also has turnover troubles, which I really don’t love against a good defense. If this game moved over 20, I’d look at Cal, probably on a back door which is not something I like banking on against Urban.
I like Auburn this weekend (again). Good spot for them. They’ve got to be hungry for a win. Stepping way down in class in their home opener against a team coning off their biggest victory in school history …. in OT.
Tough to see Warhawks going back out on the road to another SEC venue and playing like they did last week. Auburn should be able to control the lines and run the ball effectively this week. Frazier should be more effective too because he won’t be placed in bad positions (or at least he shouldn’t be).
We disagree on Cal, to a certain extend. On paper the Bears are more then capable of giving the Buckeyes a game. Jury is still out on the D. Yeah they haven’t played well thus far, but I’m sure their was no focus for Southern Utah and they haven’t had any success defending the pistol (twice vs Nevada and once against UCLA).
We will definitely find out if they they only have “potential” on paper or if they are a bad defense.