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2021 SEC Football Pick of the Week: Week Thirteen

Whoa, that was ugly.

And boy was it ever costly.

Florida’s 24-23 overtime loss to Missouri was big for a few reasons. First, their failure to cover saw us drop to 9-4 on the season and our winning streak snapped.

Secondly, head football coach Dan Mullen was fired the day the after. Now at 5-6, the Gators must beat archrival Florida State to gain postseason eligibility.

And find a new head coach.

But it’s rivalry week!

And rivalry week is arguably the greatest single week/weekend in all of sports. It’s also the only week that I will really watch games from other conferences.

I mean who wouldn’t want to watch Michigan-Ohio State, Oregon-Oregon State, Oklahoma-Oklahoma State, Virginia-Virginia Tech and others. It’s great.

Week thirteen…

SEC Pick of the Week: No. 3 Alabama (-19) at Auburn, 3:30pm on CBS.

Auburn is without Bo Nix who not only is their most important player but he’s their only player. They should have no chance in this one and while giving up nearly twenty points is a lot, the Crimson Tide should cover with ease.

Alabama knows that in order to make the playoffs they have to win and win big. Oh, and probably beat Georgia in the SEC championship game in another week. I don’t think they’ll survive another loss unless all hell breaks loose over the next two Saturdays.

Bryce Young is playing at an extremely high level. The Crimson Tide receivers are the second-best group in the country, behind Ohio State. As a result, he’ll probably throw for around 350 yards and 4 touchdowns.

That should be enough for a blowout win.

SEC Pick of the Week II: Kentucky at Louisville (-2.5), 7:30pm ET on ESPN2.

A month ago I would have said this game would’ve been a rout in favor of the Wildcats. But since then Kentucky’s defense has played poorly and the offense has struggled with turnovers.

Meanwhile, Louisville’s offense has hummed along thanks to Malik Cunningham. Their defense has played better, but it still isn’t very good.

This has all the markings of a game in which the first team to hit 40-points wins. Or like a 38-35 or 35-33 game.

I’ll take the Wildcats with the points.

Upset alert: No. 23 Clemson (-11.5) at South Carolina, 7:30pm ET on SECN. 

If South Carolina ever had a chance to beat Clemson in the Dabo Swinney era, this is it. If they don’t win however, this has a chance to be close.

I’m not saying they’ll win outright or even cover, but like Lloyd Christmas once said: “You’re telling me there’s a chance.”

Keep an eye on: No. 15 Texas A&M (-6.5) at LSU, 7:00pm ET on ESPN. 

I still somewhat feel like this shouldn’t be LSU’s rivalry week game. It feels like it should be Arkansas week. Arkansas plays Missouri, okay, fine, but it just feels off. A&M hasn’t been the conference long enough to feel SEC, if that makes any sense, so have them play Missouri and let LSU play Arkansas.

I mean, they have the golden boot trophy and all of that.

But since it’s this game and it’s the last regular season game of Ed Orgeron’s career at LSU … and he’s enjoying every minute of it.

And it’s in Death Valley at night.

Keep an eye on II: Florida State at Florida, 12:00pm ET on ESPN. 

Both teams are 5-6 on the year so this is a huge game when it comes to postseason aspirations. And the always important bowl practices.

Dan Mullen turned down the chance to coach in this game because he didn’t want to be a distraction and so running backs coach Greg Knox (who is one of the most least liked members of the staff by boosters and fans) will coach the team for the interim.

Florida State on the other hand is trending in the opposite direction. Winners of five of their last seven, it looks like the ‘Noles are hitting their stride for the first time under head coach Mike Norvell.

Ugh. But Florida-Florida State is always must watch.

Speaking of the Gators…

Trending up: The Lane Train.

Lane Kiffin, Gators coach?

Maybe, but I have some reservations. Both about the rumors and his coaching. Don’t get me wrong, I love his style and ego but Mullen was the same way so it’s probably time we take a step back from that.

Is he even that good of a recruiter?

I think it would be fun and Kiffin will leave Oxford soon enough… but to Gainesville? I don’t know.

Trending down: Bill O’Brien. 

Please, no. Just no.

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