GoSooners College Football Picks For Week #3
Last Week: 7-0
Season: 7-6
It’s been a strange season so far to say the least. From here on out I promise to take my meds and get away from this bi-polar style of all or nothing capping. I’ve got to admit I’m still a little clueless on a number of these teams. We’re still dealing with 40 new coaches in college football this year. And countless new assistants. Some of whom already haven’t worked out (Houston, Wisconsin) and been canned. This is why I’m thinking this could be a little tougher season to cap. We don’t have much in the way of history or trends to work with for many of these teams. Hopefully we’ll get a better idea of how these teams operate after the first month or so. Until then all we can do is hit submit and hope.
BOL as Always. I do LOVE your site.
My thoughts exactly. Nice writeup as always. gl my friend
Doug and Jay, thanks guys. I hope you have a great week!
GS, BC and NW are both like my arch nemesis. I can never figure out what they will do. GL
Like them all but NW … I just see that game as a toss up. Almost who ever has the ball last wins kind of game.
I think you have nailed Nebraska … They may win by 35+.
BOL and you guys have created a great site!
What’s your read on The Tenn/FL game? Seems like both team have potential to creat a ruckus in the SEC… huge game!
Hey Go
Great week last week. I ended up going 3-0 personally so can’t complain.
Have you any feelers for Wake Forest +27, TCU -20 or Alabama -20 (no Tyler Wilson for Arkansas)? Those are the 3 that stuck out for me when I scanned the schedule. Louisville -3 also tickles my fancy, teddy Bridgewater looks great.
Sendacash, CFB fan…I have this NW/BC as a very close game. My rantings have these teams dead even. I’m also kind of leaning to the under in this game if it is as competetive as I believe it will be. Spaziani’s teams as a rule don’t score a ton of points when they go on the road. 24 is the higest they’ve scored in his 3 years there. So assuming BC reaches their high number, it means NW would have to score at least 31 points for the game to go over. I’m thinking it’s going to be more of a 24-21 type of game, with the outcome going either way. TGhe reason I didn’t take the under is because with close teams like this I’m always afraid of overtime.
Spartan..My rating on the game is Tennessee by 8. But given the record for both of these teams last year combined with their returning starters, I rate the teams about dead even. I had thoughts of taking Florida earlier in the week if the public should bet this line up above 3. So far that number hasn’t showed up in any of my books. But I might take a stab at Floirda for a half a unit if it does. I liked what I saw out of the Gators in the second half of their game last week. They showed a little more balance on offense. But they won’t be facing a rookie QB this week.They’ll probably have to score more than did last week on offense to win the game. But at any number over 3, we’re just talking about a cover.
Kevin..Up to this point the only teams FSU has faced are FCS teams. We really have nothing to go by as far as what FSU will bring on offense. I would like to see a game with another BCS team first before I made a bet on them to cover that many points.
TCU is kind of the same way. They’ve only got one game under their belt, and that was against Grambling. So I really have no idea exactly what kind of team they will have this year. I’m more concerned with their defense more than anything, since they are dealing with those 8 player suspensions they had over the summer that depleted the depth of their defense.. Although TCU will probably cover the number, I hate giving DD points on the road if a team doesn’t have a great defense. I just think there are better games out there. I learned my lesson on that a long time ago. I bet MSU last week on the road. But we all know they have a shut down defense and good running game. Two of the formulas you want when you give that many points on the road.
As for Bama/Arky, you have to wonder how many points it’s worth in losing your QB. What was the game of the year line on this game, something like 7 points? Three TD’s seems like such a large number. I would be tempted to take Arky, but depth on their lines and John L Smith are serious handicaps for that team. When your up 28-7 against a Sunbelt team and lose your QB, you don’t throw the ball 50 times. Barry Switzer used to say when you pass the ball 3 things can happen, and two of them are bad. Arky ran the ball only 5 times in the second half of that game! Even a 5 year old can figure out that you sit on the ball with the run when you have a backup QB, and give your opponent fewer possessions in the 4th quarter. JLS is a moron. I just don’t trust the guy. If Arky covers this game, it will probably be because of the will of the players not wanting to be embarassed for the second week in a row, and not the coach. But do we really want to take that chance on it when there are 50 other games out there?
I’ve been eyeing Louisville all week. On paper these teams are pretty even. My ratings on this game has Louisville by 8. With the homefield advantage and the coaches are pretty much a wash. Maybe slight advantage to Charlie Strong.
Thanks for your thoughts dude.
Love your picks. UCF did me proud last week so it’ll be difficult to go against them this week, but that’s gambling I guess!
The Stanford line scares the hell out of me though!
Any read on the Wazzu game? Wazzu looked awful against BYU, but I don’t know how much stock you can put into that (veteran team vs. Pac 12 bottom feeder implementing a brand new system). I haven’t heard too much about UNLV this year… Thanks for all this insight!
Kevin…I guess we’ll find out if FIU is for real this year. So far their defense hasn’t showed up in their first two games. Hoping they can keep their running game going and at least keep it in the ballpark against UCF.17 is a big number to cover between AQ teams. At 3 scores the backdoor is always open.
Spartan, I really don’t have a strong opinion about the game tonight. I would think a BCS team could cover an 8 point spread against a bottom feeder AQ team. But Wazzu players still learning new schemes. WSU’s tight win over Eastern Washington last week was better than people think. EW has a very good FCS team.