Jimmyshivers ACC Football Picks — Week 2
YTD: 3-3 -0.79 units
Week 1 of ACC Football betting action saw me split my plays in what was ultimately a pretty fair verdict. I was wrong on NC State and Florida International, while nailing the Clemson under, North Carolina and Georgia Tech. Boston College was a tougher loss to me as a couple of key turnovers stretched what was a very close game into Miami’s favor. All in all, no reason to complain. Who is ready for Week 2?
9 thoughts on “Jimmyshivers ACC Football Picks — Week 2”
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MAXIMIZE YOUR EDGE
How many plays on the norm do you make per week?
BOL with your 4* play.
Doug,
80-90% of plays will be ACC with units usually from 2-4*. Looking @ approx. 5-7 plays a week (including sides, totals and team totals but not the occasional 2nd half play). I often split dog plays between taking the points and ML and occasionally sell points. Appreciate the reply, BOL to you as well
Thanks for your response and BOL to you as Always.
Hey jimmy, cody from atlanta. What’s your take on the yellow jackets after watching them against a hokies team that is clearly lacking talent on offense from previous years?
GT seems to be alot faster off the line on D an appear to be stronger and faster than they’ve ever been under al groh.
However, could this be due to the fact that VTs O Line is very young?
S
Hey cody, thanks for reading. Overall I like what GT has here, their recruiting hasn’t been outstanding when measured by stars, but PJ finally has a team of guys who can (and want to!) run his system, so the overall competency is probably at its highest level since he took over. I would like Tevin Washington to either be more dynamic running the ball or a better passer; he is average at both but what makes this offense really explosive imo is when your QB is a home run threat (arm or feet) who makes defenses hesitate. The option destroys indecisive defenses, but without a guy to force the opponents hand they won’t be as prolific against decent defenses. I’m really interested to see what Vad Lee (from my neck of the woods) and Synjn Days look like with the keys to the engine.
I think the D is certainly improved, year 3 of the Al Groh 3-4 defense should allow for everyone to be acclimated at this point. A big point for the 3-4 is that you have less guys on the line so they need to be more athletic which, like you, I noticed on Monday. I had felt like the discipline was poor defensively for GT over the past couple of years, and their going to have to prove that they are better in that area. The coaching staff seems really excited about the secondary, they are raw but a pretty athletic group.
Overall GT is a dangerous team that (like always) is a nightmare to prepare for. Unless Washington or the defense takes a sizeable leap forward though, they will struggle to win more than last years 8 games.
Looks like we beat the line move on that Miami – K-State total. I love it when that happens —- though it never seems to help me. HA!
Pez, I concur, hear all these experts talk about beating line moves but it usually just cost me juice or to make a play I did not really want to be on. I like to wait it out and bet on game day, but that is just me.
Sendacash, waiting until game day to make your wagers has it’s advantages too. You might miss a few games because the line moved against you throughout the week, but there is also a lot of line movement just before a game starts, so you will probably get your fair share of good numbers.
This year I am keeping detailed records of my numbers (what I wagered the game at vs the closing line). It just seems to me that I beat the closing number more often than not and it doesn’t seem to matter, though I know in the long run it statistically will make a difference.
It didn’t help me last week, but throughout the year there will be games that are winners for anyone who got the better number, while others will lose based on the closing line.
I like to play a lot of underdogs so don’t get burned by the line movements as much, but yeah you are right there will be some bets over the course of the year that would have won with the opening numbers. Playing at a somewhat squareish book can help with the dogs as well and I’ve found that if you like the dog and wait until about 45-30 mins before the game you can often times get a better number right around that window if the book gets flooded with heavy action on the favorite. The ironic thing is that if there is a heavy public favorite and the line moves the other way I like the play even more, especially if it crosses a key number even though you lose that line value.