A Few Early 2019 SEC Win Totals
As spring practices begin throughout the college football landscape, it’s time to begin discussing depth charts, open practices and my favorite talking point – for the purpose of this column – win totals.
The first win totals for the 2019 season are out courtesy of BetOnline and while they don’t list every SEC team, they do list quite a few. Slightly more than half of the conference to be exact.
With that being said, let’s take a look at what they’ve come up with and my thoughts on the matter. We’ll go ahead and start from the top and work our way down to Tennessee.
Keep in mind that these totals are for the regular season only. No bowl game, conference championship game or playoff totals included.
Alabama Crimson Tide: 11 wins.
I’ll say push, but only because I’m not going to say that the Crimson Tide will lose two regular season games.
Whew. That was easy.
Georgia Bulldogs: 10.5 wins.
I’m going to go under here due to a hunch. I’ll have more on that hunch later, but for now let me just say that I don’t believe they will only lose one game amongst the group of Notre Dame at home, Tennessee in Knoxville, Florida in Jacksonville, Auburn in Auburn and Texas A&M at home.
Put me down for at least two losses and a very interesting race in the standings with the next team on the list.
Florida Gators: 9 wins.
Oh, man. Remember last year when I said the Gators felt like a team that could win anywhere from 6 to 10 games? Well, this year feels like 10 wins is best case and 8 wins is worst case.
The schedule sees them playing Miami (FL) in Orlando, Auburn, Tennessee and Florida State at home, LSU in Baton Rouge and of course Georgia in Jacksonville. Not to mention two games against FCS opponents in Towson and UT-Martin to go along with the rest of their SEC slate.
Now out of their six biggest games, can they win four of them? Sure. Maybe. FSU and Tennessee are two winnable games followed by Miami – which should see the Gators favored by at least a touchdown.
So that leaves Auburn, Georgia and LSU. The Gators have struggled of late against Auburn, losing the last three and four of the last five, so I’ll go out on the limb and predict they stumble there.
I’ll say they beat one of the remaining two in Georgia and LSU. So I’ll take the over for now, but check back with me around the start of fall camp.
LSU Tigers: 9 wins.
Under. This is when things fall apart for Ed Orgeron. And yes, before you start, I’m fully aware I said literally this exact same thing last year as well.
No way, no how, are they only losing twice against a schedule that includes Auburn, Alabama, Florida, Mississippi State, Texas and Texas A&M.
Not going to happen. I don’t even care who is home, who is away, netural site, whatever. The Tigers are losing at least three of those games.
So at best, a push. But again, I’ll be on the safe side of things and take the under.
Auburn Tigers: 8 wins.
Auburn probably has the toughest schedule in the SEC this year and that’s not a good thing for head coach Gus Malzahn.
Road trips to Florida, LSU and Texas A&M rarely turn out to be fun. But hey, at least the plains will get to see Alabama and Georgia. They could lose all five of those games, but I think they’ll win one of them.
They also play Oregon in Dallas.
They very well could finish the season 6-6. Or worse. Maybe slightly better at 7-5, which sounds like it will be the ceiling for this squad.
Mississippi State Bulldogs: 8 wins.
The Bulldogs play Kentucky and Tennessee from the East to go along with the gauntlet that is the West.
Alabama, Kansas State, Kentucky, LSU, Ole Miss and Texas A&M all travel to Starkville while the Bulldogs travel to Auburn, Texas A&M and Tennessee.
I’ll say push, but if pressed give me the under.
Texas A&M Aggies: 7.5 wins.
Now is when we begin to see whether or not Jumbo Fisher is worth that 10-year contract.
I’ll take the over here, even though like LSU above they play in the SEC West but instead of Texas they play Clemson on the road. Their games against Georgia and LSU are on the road but everyone else seems to come to Kyle Field.
I also think Fisher is a better coach than Coach O, so there is that. Yeah, I’m sticking with the over for now.
Tennessee Volunteers: 7 wins.
Maybe this turns into a push, but for now I’m going to go with the over. Why? Because without even looking at their entire schedule I’ll make this prediction: they will beat either Alabama, Florida or Georgia this year.
Because lord knows they won’t beat South Carolina and Will Muschamp, who as head coach at Florida and South Carolina is a combined 89-0 against the Vols.