534 Dayton -5.5 vs George Washington

Dayton hosts George Washington today on senior day and we’re getting value at 5.5. Dayton has only one bad loss at home and George Washington has only one actual win on the road. Dayton is also coming off two of its worst losses of the year not surpassing more than 56 points in any of the last three games. This is a nice right the ship game before the conference tournament begins and I like Dayton to really come out strong here. Dayton should be able to score at will in their building against a spotty GW defense that severely struggles to stop teams defensively on the road. There is also a nice reverse trend colliding here. Dayton has covered a game ATS in its last 6 and is 1-11 ATS in last 12. George Washington is 4-1 ATS in last 5. Really like fading trends when they collide like this because the market makes adjustments and a few points swing in your favor.

553 Coastal Carolina +2.5 vs. Appalachian State

These two met earlier in Coastal Carolina and Appalachian State had there way in that one, but this time I expect it to be different. These two have very similar records with an extra win in favor of Coastal Carolina, but the strength of schedule leans heavily in favor of Coastal Carolina. Coastal Carolina plays better defense, is better on the glass, gets to the stripe more, and forces more turnovers. They are also no stranger to winning conference games on the road as they have four road wins in conference play and won their last two as well. In this spot, I’ll take the better team playing better ball right now getting points.