TSE Week 9 Guest Handicapper Challenge
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MAXIMIZE YOUR EDGE
Guys, I am still working on getting up a weekly running total of each weeks winner(s) so we can keep tabs on how they do each week. I hope to have something up by the end of the week (before Saturday).
1. You went to school at the University of Minnesota
2. Clemson defense is #109 in ypc, 103 in ypa and 107 in ypp…there are two sides to every coin
3. Little Rock is not a truly neutral field…Ark plays there every year and has already played a game there this season, not to mention the ticket allotment…not saying i don’t like your pick, but to call it a neutral field is incorrect
good luck this week
Trentmoney, I agree with you that Clemson’s Def has been bad. The point I was making is that I don’t think Wake’s offense is good enough to keep up with Clemson’s. In Clemson’s last three games, Clemson won by 14, 16, & 21 against three offenses better than Wake’s. I am worried a little that it’s at Wake and about a potential backdoor.
My bad on the neutral field. I was looking at travel time for both teams. Still think Ole Miss is the better team in this game.
Good luck with you plays too.
Saturday, October 27th
New Mexico +14
Fresno State has been blowing teams out as of late and that is the reason for this inflated line. New Mexico on the other hand has covered 4 straight and new head coach Bob Davie has done an excellent job during his rebirth after being in the booth at ESPN.32-27 Fresno State (Tie-breaker)
Toledo -7
Buffalo is a lousy team with a challenged QB, Toledo will score at least 4o in this game and win going away.42-17 Toledo
Colorado +45 1/2
Oregon will be up by at least 35 at half time and use their backups for the entire 2nd half as they get ready for USC next week. The last three times they have done this the visiting team has covered via the backdoor.
Oregon State -4
Washington is good home dog but this is just not enough points I believe.
Miss ST + 24 1/2
For the same reasons as the Oregon game I think Bama is looking ahead to LSU next week even though Miss St has not lost yet. Alabama 37-21
Syracuse +3.5
The Orange have had 2 extra days to prepare for a team they always play very tight. Very overvalued USF team, also a very unpredictable team. Cuse found their running game last week and looked pretty good on D.
Georgia +7
My situational spot of the week. Florida D is good, but Aaron Murray is ready to repeat last year’s performance. I think UGA’s close game with UK and UF blowing out SC puts the bulldogs in good position. Before the year started, UGA was favored by 4.5 in this game…I think this is the week where UF’s offense catches up with them.
Kansas State -7
KSU has a MUCH better D and should handle Tech easy. KSU has proved they win the big game and handle the hype. Hard for this game to be a let down when you had won your last game in the first quarter.
Oregon State -4
Although UW is a good home team, since their win vs Stanford, they have been extremely flat in the L3. I see UW’s o-line getting mauled by OSU front line. 28-17 Beavers
Toledo -7.5
I hope I’m not missing anything here. Toledo is the much better team: better d and better run game.
Temple – Pitt U 48.5
Two teams that run the ball and play pretty good defense.
Indiana +2
Illinois is the worst team in the Big 10.
Minnesota +3
Purdue is not a god team and should not be favored on the road in the Big 10.
Colorado +45.5
Oregon will put 50+ up by halftime and then coast in the second half looking ahead to USC. Oregon 52-13
Notre Dame +11
This is too many points for a defense as good as Notre Dame’s to be getting. Oklahoma’s wins a close defensive game.
Air Force +3.5
Navy +3.5
WMU +8.5
Minnesota +2.5
Mississippi State +24 ……… Alabama 31-10
Ore St -3
Rice -2.5
Ole Miss +6
NW -5
Indiana +2
Indian 34- Illinois 27 (tie breaker)
My Blazing Five™ are as follows:
1. Indiana +2 at Illinois- I think the wrong team is favored here. Illinois is easily the worst team in the B1G and would be an average team in the MAC this year. I think Indiana wins straight up.
2. Ohio State -1 at Penn State- I just don’t see Ohio State losing this. Ohio State has proven they can go into a hostile environment and win. Miller is cleared to play and is participating fully in practice. Even with Guiton, I’d take OSU. My only concern is that Penn State’s defense has been playing much better than OSU’s, but I have a feeling OSU plays up or down to their opponent. I expect Meyer to have the buckeyes prepared. Besides, if the Purdue game tells me anything it is that the Luckeyes always find a way to pull it out.
3. South Carolina -13.5 vs. Tennessee- Oh Rocky Top, you have passionate fans and a catchy song, but your coach is awful and needs to go. How he got the Tennessee job with a sub .500 record at a WAC school is beyond me (I realize they were desperate but still). I think a healthier South Carolina is looking for someone to beat up on and Tennessee is ripe for the picking. Tennessee’s offense will be contained by a stout USCe defense
4. Georgia Tech -2.5 vs. BYU- I think BYU is the better team here but it is tough to travel to South Bend and then to Atlanta to face the triple option.
5. Michigan State +6 at Wisconsin- This will be a defensive battle. Wisconsin will prevail 17-14.
haha love the TM. Good luck on your picks!
No time for write-ups this week:
Mississippi State +24
Georgia +7
Texas Tech +7 (Tiebreaker KSU 30 TTech 27)
Michigan State/Wisconsin Under 40.5
Louisiana Tech Team Total Over 54.5
Ball St (-4)
Northwestern (-6)
Ole Miss (+6)
N. Illinois (-7) (Tie breaker N. Illinois 34 W. Michigan 24)
Indiana (+2)
Man, you keep bringing the fire. Nice picks again this week. I was a Denard injury away from matching you(maybe). I’m starting to feel like there’s a rivalry taking off. Better watch out, I’m gonna match your 5-0 next week to take back the throne!
Riley,
I am just hoping that this run continues. I realize that this pace can not be maintained forever…….but it sure is nice right now!
Have you participated all 3 weeks? If so, what were your week 1 numbers? 4-1, 4-1, and 5-0 here, 13-2 (86.6%) on my end. As far as a rivalry goes, as long as we are all making money that is good enough for me. I really enjoy all of the great info and conversations that people share in here, really helpful. BOL next week, and may everyone win MoMoney!
Auburn +14 1/2
Auburn is fighting for survival and A & M just played a physically draining game against LSU. Home Dog
Arizona + 7
USC and Arizona will both score over 40 points in this shootout and again I like the home dog with the spread.
North Carolina -7 1/2
Like the heels in this game after debacle last week against Duke
Illinois -2
Indiana is everyone’s fav this week, historically that is when I run from the hoosiers
Boston College -3
Not all trappers wear fur caps! This game has sucker play written all over it.
Tiebreaker……. Arizona 48-45 over USC
La Tech Team Total Over 54.5
I’ve been playing this every week, despite it continuing to go higher. Sticking with it again. This number is still below their average of 56 ppg, against an NMSU team ranked 103rd in points allowed. Tech could put up 50 in the first half again this week if they can force a turnover or two. Sidenote: I really don’t see how someone isn’t going to throw a pile of money at Dykes at the end of this season.
Kentucky +14
For the same reason that the under seems to be a popular pick. It’s going to be difficult for Mizzou to cover 2 TDs in what should be a low scoring game. Kentucky has been rather inconsistent this year. Taking it to SC first half, getting completely dominated by Arkansas, back to hanging with Georgia last week. I’m really at a loss as to why this line is as high as it is, and opened higher. Mizzou has a better defense, but not 14 points better. If Whitlow can manage to stay in the game this week UK could keep this one real close.
NC State +7.5
Defense wins football games. North Carolina isn’t quite in the upper echelon of offensive teams, but at 39 ppg they can score. But if you remove the Elon and Idaho games where they scored 62 and 66 points, we’re looking at a more comparable 30 ppg. With both defenses being nearly identical stat-wise, at just over a touchdown I’ll take the points.
Western Kentucky -6.5
WKU is a better team in just about every stat, with a vastly superior defense. While FIU does a little more through the air, WKU has a much more balanced offensive attack, and can grind out yards on the ground – as evidenced by their 9th ranking in 3rd down %. WKU is going to come out fired up after that heart breaker in OT last week.
41-24
Ole Miss +6
Nothing to say here Sabert hasn’t covered already.
MOMONEY 5-0 …. SWEET!
Riley 4-1 again. SilkyDiamonds also 4-1
Great job guys. It was a fantastic week(end) on the site all around.
Thanks and let’s do it all over again next week.