YTD – 19-16

Another winning week, making it 3 in a row.  I started off very slow which I actually forecasted as I get stronger as the year goes and I can read teams better by watching them more and more.  Been 67% the last 3 weeks and we had some backdoor covers or else the record would have been better. I’m gonna look to end the season off strong. At this time of year, motivation will play a major key to alot of games on the schedule, so beware. Make sure the team you are backing has at least something to play for(rivalry, bowl game, chance at title etc., playing for next season(young team)

LSU +12.5 at Alabama

I like LSU here to have a shot at winning this game. I feel this Bama team isn’t as good as the ones in the past and really haven’t played a well balanced football team yet. Vtech was all defense and A&M was all offense. The Ole Miss was a tight game and Bama pulled away late however. The scoreline really didn’t indicate how the game went.  This LSU team isn’t as strong as the team that challenged Bama in previous years but they do have the weapons to hurt Bama. I believe their balance on offense won’t allow Bama to matchup to take away a strength. LSU should start power running with Hill and if Bama has to load the box, then Beckham and Landry should get open vs the Bama secondary. Mettenberger has improved and had a very strong showing last year vs Bama. I really feel that LSU will be able to score points on Bama.  The real question mark for me will be the LSU defense. The Bama offense is a good one but i still have questions about their offensive line and I feel LSU will be able to get some push here and disrupt McCarron.  Also Les Miles gets his teams up for these big games and LSU has not lost by 13 outside of the nat champ game since 2008. Les Miles also has a good track record vs Bama and is 3-4 vs Nick Saban. Question all of Les Miles clock management and tactics but he gets his teams to fight, especially in an underdog role such as this one.

USC -16.5  at Cal

I see a total mismatch in this game. We all know of Cal’s struggles and they are asking kids on the street to play defense for them.  In comes a USC team that is firing on all cylinders, has a day extra rest and looking to build on tis momentum.  It is safe to assume that USC will score on Cal. With Lee back in the lineup, USC now has 2 deep threats and Kessler has now become comfortable running the offense. They are getting guys back on offense week after week and when healthy, they boast a potent offense if their line protects them. That  should not be an issue vs this Cal defense. I look for USC to be in the 40’s easily and maybe put up 50.  I do rate Cal’s offense higher than most and I think they will be a team to be reckon with on offense in the next 2 years, however they have struggled to put together drives with scores and now play the best defense they have seen all year.  Prior to the Arizona game, they had put up 10, 17, 10 vs UCLA, Washington and Oregon St.  USC has a better defense than all 3 of these teams and I think USC can keep them in the teens for scoring.  I did not even bring up the in fighting in the Cal locker room and I just feel this is a total mismatch.

Hawaii +17 at Navy

This is just a simple bet. I cannot trust a service academy/triple option team to be 17 pt favourites vs a non service academy team.  Hawaii is a bad football team but they can score some points and while I feel Navy should win this game, I see it being closer than a 17 pt game.

Louisville -27 at UConn

Michigan -6.5 vs Nebraska

WKU – 6 at Army