It’s been my purpose to introduce the idea of including in one’s handicap a feel not only for the relative superiority of teams, but also for how they profile in terms of their scoring distribution. As pace handicappers say to speed handicappers at the racetrack, “It’s not just how fast they run, it’s how they run fast.” Statistically speaking to become an in-game handicapper is to track stuff like first drive efficiency, mirror scoring (how they respond to an opponent’s drive), scoring acceleration or de-acceleration (interpreted in some cases as how well both DL and OL lines hold up and in others as a coach’s tendency in the trail situation to leave “the book” and start to risk). Maybe next year, or over the summer, we can explore the theory and execution of that stuff more thoroughly.

“The Pinnacle Pulse” had a writeup on in-game soccer betting this week, and if you’re interested in developing an approach to in-game CFB wagering there are certainly ideas on which to riff: It’s here.

Also, if you’re interesting in learning more about the academic discipline of Decision Science so as to deepen and extend your approach to betting I’d like to recommend a free course. It begins today, but I’m sure it will be offered again. It’s here.

This is the time of the year I turn my attention to preparing to bet college basketball, and so I’m going to end my regular contributions. I’ve enjoyed the interaction with my fellow handicappers, and wish you continued success.