SOLD OUT!

Experienced QB’s, (especially seniors) means a ton in college football.  Derrick Carr is not only one of the better QB’s in the country, but the senior leader for this fast paced Bulldog team.

Bettors don’t put enough value on emotion when betting college football.  This will be Carr’s last chance to beat Boise State.  After failing twice before and only scoring 2 touchdowns total in those two matchups, this will be his last chance to erase those memories.

Check out these key points:

• Because of Colorado floods they did not play last week (refreshed)

• Looking to revenge last year’s only conference defeat

• Fresno State’s 16 returning starters vs. Boise State’s 9 returning starters

• Experienced QB (3rd year starting senior)

• Home game Friday night national TV…SOLD OUT!

• 39% on Fresno State, yet the line has not moved from -3 (Remember my Line Reversal Movement article?  Better read it again)

By the way…to underestimate the noise level at Bulldog Stadium would be a huge mistake.  This mountain west fan base can compete with the best of them.

This will be a much prepared, focused, experienced and pissed off team come Friday night.  The oddsmakers know, most bettors are hanging on to the past with the Cinderella Broncos.  They understand by dangling the carrot and giving them 3 points, most square bettors will line up at the window to place their money.  Not us!  We’ll gladly give them 3.5 points and cash our ticket three  hours later.

Consider: Fresno State -3.5

Forty Six & 2

Greg Smith is a sports handicapper at Only Best Bets and writer for The Saturday Edge. You can follow Greg on Twitter throughout the college football season @onlybestbets.