Below are some of the games that we are considering betting on this week and a few reasons why we like a particular side or total. Please feel free to join in the discussion and offer your feedback, we would definitely like to hear about how you are viewing a particular side or total.

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GoSooners

Kansas State/Texas (Looking at the OVER)

In these last two games the Texas defense has been terrible against teams who rely heavily on the zone read like BYU and Ole Miss. They gave up over 6 yards per rush last week. It probably won’t get much better this week against a zone read team like KSU who likes to chew up yards on the ground. Unless you think that DC Robinson is some sort of miracle worker, the OVER trend will probably continue for the rest of the season. KSU’s defense is even worse than Ole Miss, so UT should have plenty of success moving the ball themselves.

Texas A&M -28 With only 11 starters back off a middle of the road CUSA team, SMU simply isn’t very good this year. June Jones is a disgruntled coach with basically nowhere else better to coach. He wants SMU to ease back a little on their academic standards to allow him to get the players he wants, and they said “no can do.” The Pony’s may have reached their pinnacle last year in pulling out a 7-6 season with a veteran team. Something tells me now that they are in a BCS conference, they’ll never see that many wins again for a long time. A&M is coming off a huge emotional game, but they did get some of their well needed players back from suspension against Bama. And I expect these players, (especially on defense) to get better with each week. Plus Manziel only knows how to play in one gear, and that’s GO. Look for A&M’s defense to look a little better this week. Look for this offense, who put up 600+ yards on the vaunted Bama defense, to put up those numbers plus more against SMU.

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Pezgordo  

Utah +7 Utes have owned the “Holy War” winning 8 of the last 11 games including the last 3 in a row. Apparently scoring 40+ points in Texas isn’t really that big of an accomplishment this season, so one outlier offensive performance does not change the fact that BYU is a bad offensive football team. BYU QB Tayson Hill is a terrible passer (he ranks 113th at 71 with a 30 percent completion rate) while Utah QB Travis Wilson is ranks No. 15 in the nation in pass efficiency at 172 with a 62 percent completion rate.

Defensively BYU has the edge, but without a competent QB in the passing game the Cougars are a very average team. The last times BYU defeated Utah, it came from big plays from QB Max Hall. Hall earned a 26-23 overtime win on a TD throw to Andrew George in 2009, and his fourth-and-18 completion to Austin Collie led to a 17-10 win in 2007.

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SabertStxVii

Michigan -17.5 vs UConn, Under 52

I usually don’t play totals, and when I do, I typically don’t take Favs and Unders. Michigan got their scare last week. I still think they are one of the better equipped teams to make a run for a national championship, and they had the wake-up call they needed. They won’t sleepwalk here. Oh yeah, UConn is awful this year.

Georgia Tech -6.5 vs UNC

Tech at home against a UNC team off a bye. Tough team to sceme against regardless of time you have to prep. Their defense is underrated and giving under a TD is nice.

Kansas – 10.5 vs La Tech

La Tech is one of the worst teams in the country and I am not sure if the books have adjusted for that yet. They now have to travel to a Big 12 school that is on the brink of possibly turning things around. Would love to see this at 10 or under again, but still like it at 10.5.

Baylor -28 vs UL-Monroe

UL-Monroe is okay, but Baylor will put up 60 again. The Baylor defense has been playing better and UL-M will probably get into the 20s in this one, but 30s I’m skeptical about. ULM coming off of a tough game at Wake Forest that they barely sneaked by, now they are travelling to Baylor, who is coming off of the bye.

ASU +8 vs Stanford

Stanford O hasn’t blown me away and ASU offense is HIGH OCTANE. But really, I don’t know if Stanford can beat a team by double digits if that team has an offense.

Miami +22 vs Cincinnati

Miami is bad, but getting 3 TDs is pretty nice in a in-state rivalry game. Cinci is playing their back-up QB after the gruesome Munchie injury, and Miami is off a bye as well. They may keep it within 3.

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