Golden Nugget Game Of The Year Lines – An Early Look
Oct 13, 2012; Dallas, TX, USA; Oklahoma Sooner running back Damien Williams (26) rushes for a first quarter touchdown against the Texas Longhorns during the red river rivalry at the Cotton Bowl. Mandatory Credit: Matthew Emmons-US PRESSWIRE
Tomorrow the Golden Nugget will be releasing 250 game of the year lines to the public. I asked each of The Saturday Edge handicappers to predict the point spread for 5 games from their conference of expertise. Hopefully we are somewhat accurate, but at the very least the “guesses” should be good for a few good laughs come tomorrow. LOL!
20 thoughts on “Golden Nugget Game Of The Year Lines – An Early Look”
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MAXIMIZE YOUR EDGE
Oregon (-3.5) @ Stanford
Clemson (+7) @ South Carolina
Thanks for the thoughts No Coke. I had originally put Oregon -3, but went with -2.5. Depending on how Stanford does against Oregon State & Oregon does at UW , they both could be 8-0 entering that game.
I agree both have a realistic chance of being 8-0 heading into that game which will obviously change things. But right now I think the perception on Oregon is much higher than Stanford (just look at the futures).
You are right about the comparison of each teams future odds. Oregon definitely getting more respect than Stanford.
Would love to know everyone’s predictions on LSU at Alabama and Alabama at TAMU. I’m thinking Alabama -13 vs. LSU and Alabama -6 at TAMU based somewhat on last year’s spreads but I could be overvaluing Bama.
11.5 & 6 according to the 10 early GOY lines that the Golden Nugget released yesterday: https://linemakers.sportingnews.com/ncaa-football/2013-06-04/college-football-point-spreads-texas-am-alabama
I was thinking around 4 – 4.5 for the A & M game, so 6 is in the ball park, but I wasn’t figuring on 11.5 for LSU. Though based on last year’s number and it being in Tuscaloosa this year, I guess that is reasonable (still think it is too many though).
I’ll be curious to see where they set these Big 12 games. I was going mainly by the preseason prognosticators who think either OSU or Texas will win the conference. We’ll see if Vegas agrees with them. I may be off on the RRR. Given the way OU has taken care of Texas with ease the last two years, they might end up making it a tossup game. Although 3 seems to be their opening number of choice for setting the line for that game the last few years.
What is a good website to view the lines once they are posted?
This link lists all the preliminary lines:
https://collegespun.com/homepage/rejoice-golden-nugget-releases-point-spreads-for-its-250-college-football-games-of-the-year#
So what do I win for being the closest? HAHA! I even got one right on the money! I hope that it is a good omen.
Just from the few Big 12 lines that I’ve seen today, I think they are seriously underestimating TCU and Baylor. I’m already seeing 4 lines where TCU isn’t favored. I have them going 9-3 this year, so believe there will be some money to be made on the froggies. Maybe not in the first game vs LSU, but thereafter. Baylor will be an offensive machine. I would be afraid to give that team anything. I’m already seeing Baylor +8 vs Texas…Wow!
USC -1 vs. Stanford? What am I missing here? This seems like a bad line.
eh. that’s about where I’ve got it. But I’m lower on USC and higher on Stanford than most. Not sure why a somewhat more mainstream book posted this line, I figured it’d be Stanford laying at least 2 and very possibly 3.5 or more.
I live in LA, love USC, and as long as Kiffin is our coach, we are NOT beating Stanford.
Reposting SBN note from earlier:
Teams “On”:
Cal (+10.5 vs NW, +21 vs Ohio St, +16.5 @ UCLA, +17 vs USC, +22 @ Stanford)
TCU (-4 @ TT, +9 @ OK, +10 @ OK St, +3 vs Texas, -10 vs WV, -9.5 @ Iowa St, +4.5 @ KSU, -5 vs Baylor)
Oregon St (-6 @ Utah, -6.5 @ SD St, +3 vs Stanford, +4.5 @ ASU)
Oklahoma St (-11 @ WV, -14 @ Iowa St, +6.5 @ Texas, -11 vs Baylor, -3 vs OK)
Washington (-2 vs Boise, -11 @ Illinois, +10 @ Stanford, +2 @ UCLA, +5 @ Oregon St)
Teams “Off”:
Northwestern(-10.5 @ Cal, -13 vs Cuse)
Georgia (-3.5 @ Clemson, -4 vs SC)
Louisville (-14 @ UK, -10 vs Rutgers, -3 @ Cincy, and the -10 to -20 lines vs misc AACK teams generally seem high too)
Stanford (-10 vs ASU, -10 vs Wash, -3 @ Oregon St, -22 vs Cal)
West Virginia (-2 @ MD, +11 vs OK St, +10 @ TCU, +12 vs Texas, -7.5 vs Iowa St)
Oklahoma (+2 @ ND, -9 vs TCU, pick v Texas, -14 vs TT, -6 @ Baylor, -4 @ KSU, +3 @ OK St)
Florida (-17 vs Ark, +4.5 @ LSU, -6 @ Mizzou, -2 vs FSU)
Texas A&M (-4 @ Ole Miss, -16 vs Vandy, +1 @ LSU)
UCLA (-16.5 vs Cal, -2 vs Washington, -3 vs ASU)
Ohio St (-21 @ Cal, -6 @ Michigan)
Matthew, it looks like we are actually in agreement on Cal this year.
Guess so. Incidentally, here’s a more complete list of Compu-Picks picks:
https://compu-picks.com/2013Preview/Golden_Nugget_GOTY_Part01.html
https://compu-picks.com/2013Preview/Golden_Nugget_GOTY_Part02.html
I had actually missed on first glace just how high GN was on the Vols. -8 vs Auburn, faves at all vs Vandy… just can’t see it.
Looks like I was off around 3 points on each of the games I selected, honestly that isn’t much of a shock to me as the good folks at the Golden Nugget are more bullish on VT & Miami than I am.
Clemson looks awfully tempting at -2 at home versus FSU to me; while FSU is still stacked they are adjusting to a lot of new personnel on the field and a new defensive coordinator off of it. Clemson will simply outscore several teams this year and they may be able to against FSU (they scored 37 last year vs a loaded FSU D in Tallahassee).
I just don’t see what guys like Phil Steele see in Virginia Tech this year (he has them ranked #11 nationally in the preseason), they have really returned to the pack in the ACC the last few seasons and their trademark strengths (defensive physicality, special teams) have often been their weakness. They should be an improved team this year but they don’t belong anywhere near the top 10 to begin the year IMO.
I was off by 2 points on Texas/OSU, 3 points on OU/Texas and 2 points on OU/OSU. Not a big surprise to me in any of those lines. But for the amount of media outlets that are picking Texas to win the conference, Vegas doesn’t sound so confident about it. I was a little surprised to see TCU -5 over Baylor. I was 4 points off there. Quite a change from last season when Baylor was -7 over TCU. So they are basically saying TCU is 9 points better than last season based on the 3 points for home field advantage.
Good job guys. Looks like we were at least in the ballpark on most of the games and we all had a clunker.
I originally had Notre Dame -6 but changed it to -8.5 and my one big clunker was UCLA at USC. I guess Vegas is higher on the Trojans (again) than I am.