GoSooners College Football Picks for Week # 12
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11 thoughts on “GoSooners College Football Picks for Week # 12”
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MAXIMIZE YOUR EDGE
Wisc as slight favorite after last week’s blowout has trap line written all over it. Begging for public money, and seems to have gotten it. I like OSU here too.
Full disclosure, I like OSU in this spot as well, but I would argue the other way that OSU is begging for public money. An AP top 10 ranked team as an underdog against an unranked opponent has the smell of a sucker bet on OSU. If that is the case, then call me a sucker!!
For some odd reason the line movement is screaming Wisky. But I don’t care. In half of Kansas State’s games this year the line movement has begged you to take the other side. All I can say is how’d that work out? As for this game, both Pezgordo and my numbers have these teams at even. But I still feel that the situational factor/coach/QB all favor OSU in this spot.
Posted this on the RX:
I lean towards the under in that one (now 53) Both running teams (OSU 8th, Wiscy 17th), stop the run (Wiscy 13th, OSU 16th), and can’t pass the ball (OSU T-98th, Wiscy 108th). Wiscy has a good passing defense. Not sure Wisconsin can exploit OSU’s pass defense.
Any lean, GS? Best of luck this week.
Tribetimenow, Pezgordo might be able to give you a better idea about this total. But it looks to me like Wisky doesn’t have the kind of offense that gives OSU problems. Especially with a backup QB. All Phillips basically had to do last week was hand off. Of the 71 plays they ran, 64 of them were running plays. So the Wisky QB was basically just a game manager and nothing more. OSU has the horses up front to stop the run. We’re talking about Wisky going from playing a team who gives up 252 ypg rushing to one who gives up just 108 ypg. So Philips will have to make plays. And the one unknown in this game is if he is capable of it. My guess is he’s going to have problems given that Meyer has had two weeks to prepare his defense for him. Wisky is an old school Big 10 team like a Michigan St. and they are good on defense. So I would have to lean to the under in this game.
We’ve got two games tonight. I don’t have an opinion about the Ohio/Ball state game, but I did put a half a unit down on Northern Illinois. I’m still trying to decide if I want to make it an official play. I hate messing with weekday games, especially MAC games. But NIU looks right now like a very strong team, and the class of the MAC. While the offensive numbers of these teams are similar, what seperates them is NIU’s superior defense which ranks 45th in the country to Toeldo’s 106. I also prefer to go with the hot NIU team who has won 6 games in a row ATS and playing at home for the last time.
“These two teams are pretty close because of UCLA’s ability to run the ball. But at just a FG I prefer to take my chances with the Trojans to get the cover.”
USC actually has the better YPC in rushing by almost 1/2 yard, granted USC has 313 attempts to UCLA’s 450. Silas Redd will also be coming back for this game.
Seth, I think with all things being equal, USC having the better QB is a solid advantage for the Trojans. And as much as I don’t care for Kiffin, I also feel it is still an intangible advantage in game preparation in big games for a third year coaching staff as opposed to a first year coaching staff. But USC better watch out after this year. UCLA has some real talent on that team. And Mora appears to be doing everything right. BOL this weekend.