Pezgordo’s Week # 7 College football Picks
Pezgordo’s College Football Picks – YTD: 40-38 ATS
I went 6-5 on my posted picks, including Ole Miss at +11 and again at +14, but my newsletter picks didn’t do well as I went 0-2. The OU-Texas Tech U 57 hurt. I thought I was going to pull that one out, even after the disastrous 3rd quarter. But it wasn’t to be as TT scored a garbage TD w/ less than a minute to play in the game. Texas Tech held OU to just 380 yards, but kept giving the Sooners shorts fields off of turnovers, including a pick six.
13 thoughts on “Pezgordo’s Week # 7 College football Picks”
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MAXIMIZE YOUR EDGE
Pez,
Really like the plays so far. As usual, I typically avoid the Big 12, but Texas seems like the right side from all I’ve looked at.
Ironically, you predicted the same score as Phil Steele for the Florida vs Vandy game! I like this play quite a bit. How does Vandy score here? Even if it is a bad spot for Florida, they know this is a must win game since SC could be taking a loss this weekend. This will put them in the drivers seat for the SEC East.
Sabert, Texas – OU looks like it’ll be a competitive one this year. Sooners still struggling on the OL and in the running game. Could see this one turning into a defensive battle.
Hopefully Phil and I are locked in to the SEC this week. I am still leaning Vols +3 too, but their defensive short comings have me hesitating.
The two keys I see for a Texas victory this Saturday is that Texas should be able to put some pressure on Landry Jones and Texas will run all over Oklahoma. Landry Jones is absolutely horrible under pressure, so this will cause the offensive rhythm to get out of sync. Defensively, I have not seen Oklahoma stop the run consistently enough to have any confidence in them. Texas can, and will, run the ball every chance they get in this game. I just don’t see a lot of positives on the Oklahoma side.
BS, I think if OU can’t get their running game going on Saturday, the Texas DE’s will tee off on Jones.
Should be a good game. I like getting the points in what looks like a coin flip.
Pez,
The stanford line jumped out at me as it seems high, imo. Given Nunes has struggled, and Taylor is not the same back in 8 in the box, the Stanford defense is a stout against the run and more than a td seems to be giving ND too much respect. Stanford s defense stops the run, which is what ND wants to do. ND defense also stops the run, which again, is what Stanford relies upon. Neither passing offense is clicking ( Montgomery has 168 yards on the year, not to mention some killer drops, hell maybe the back up is better”
I see two tough defenses, matched up against 2 below average offenses and asking ND to cover 8 is too much, imo. Everyone seems to like ND is this spot sans I. Taking into account the obvious coaching mis match that Stanford will face, I would like your .02 on this game. Mahalo
BJ2, we are definitely on the same page this week. For most of the reasons you pointed out, I really like the under. However, I am also in agreement that Stanford +8 (7.5 now?) appears to have value.
I really wish I hadn’t been sleeping on the job and missed the opening lines on this game (49 … unreal & 9.5).
As you suggest, the loss of Montgomery really isn’t that big of a deal in terms of what is/was going to happen in the Stanford passing game. He definitely was prone to dropped passes.
I appreciate your input.
Hell I saw 9 sunday night, and i waited thinking it might hit 10. Everyone big on the Irish right now. Almost everyone.
Good luck with your plays. I too, believe Gators wear down Vandy.
10 would have probably swayed me to go w/ the Cardinal. That is actually the number I come up with. But asking a team w/ an offense like ND’s to cover DD is asking a lot.
But this will definitely be the best defense Stanford has seen all season and Nunes was ineffective his last time on the road against a less talented UW defense.
If Gators don’t have one of those games where they gift Vandy a few scores, tough to see Vandy hanging 4 quarters.
Love me some PITT!!
Going to use Pitt as my pick at College Football Zealots this week. I’ve won 5 in a row so hoping the Panthers bring their A game (the one they played against VT).
Good card this weekend, Pez! I was tempted to take Tennessee too, they have the talent to win that game outright. Troy proved earlier in the season that you can pass on this Miss St team. Ultimately I shied away due to Bray’s tendency to force throws, especially under pressure. Mississippi St has an opportunistic secondary that will be chomping at the bit for him to make a mistake. If he does make a few bad throws, I’m not sure if Tennessee can recover on the road. Good luck this weekend!
Thanks Spencer. I’ve been debating the Vols all week before making the commitment earlier today. Should be a close one.
I like your Oregon State pick and haven’t yet eliminated it from my list. They are the overall better team even w/o Mannion and this game should be a low scoring defensive battle.
BOL this weekend.