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SabertStxVii Week 6 College Football Picks

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12 thoughts on “SabertStxVii Week 6 College Football Picks”

  1. Doug says:

    BOL as Always. I really like the Miss play, Alot. Missouri down through the years seems to Always play Good to Better at home. Just another Big 12 team, as they ALL seem to play over their heads

    • Sab SabertStxVii says:

      Doug,

      Thanks for the comment. I think two scores is just too much to give on the road. Everyone is looking at what a&m has done their past few games and that’s put up a lot of points. Everyone also sees this ole miss team with no defense. They have improved dramatically here since the beginning of the season.

      Secondly, I like Vandy here. They have played a brutal first few games, against 3 teams in top 25 and 2 in top 10. They held sc close actually, but Georgia did get a bit away from them. Paying at Uga is hard. I like them here because they are coming off of a bye, they are able to gameplan extra for this game at mizzou. Vandy had high hopes coming into the year, and we all thought that their defense was going to be the issues. That’s not the case, it’s their offense. I think they should be able to start that turnaround here this week.

      On top of that, mizzou is really struggling on O. They should have lost last week. If you look at the box score and don’t know the names of either team, you’d probably think they’d lost. They scored on some great field position, a punt return and a broken play. I think this rested vandy d will be solid. Think vandy can win this one outright against a banged up mizzou team and wouldn’t be surprised if they did.

  2. Winston says:

    Rutgers is down to -7 1/2, I am going to buy it down to -7 and let er rip… What do you think?

    WT

    • Sab SabertStxVii says:

      Win,

      Think this line movement is really interesting here. Rutgers is coming off of a bye, playing at home. They also have a team that remembers how dangerous uconn can be after last year. I am still a little leery on this play for a few reasons.

      Rutgers never seems to blow anyone out. I’m not saying 2 scores is a blowout here, but that’s one thing to be careful of. Also, don’t judge uconn just by their game last week. Yeah they struggled against a bad team, but we gotta look past that. It’s only week 6.

      I am also worried that after everyone saw Rutgers throttle an sec team, they are now ranked, they beat Ucf on natl tv, etc., they are overvalued. This line seems almost like a trap to me being this low.

      I think Rutgers will be able to gameplan some scores in. If they are able to get an early and comfortable lead on uconn, uconn will be forced to do what they suck at, and that’s pretty much everything on offense. If you think this is going to be a hard fought close defensive game, I’d steer clear. Not sure what side I’m on yet. Leaning Rutgers, but need to look a bit more into it.

      There is definitely value though getting this at 7 when it opened at 10. Book had this one pegged at a like a ~25-16 type of score.

  3. Falcon says:

    what are your thoughts on the byu/utah st game friday night

    thanks

    • Sab SabertStxVii says:

      Falcon,

      Honestly I lean Utah St. here, but not as much conviction behind that too make it an actual play. When you look at it, you have two teams with what appears to be really good defenses. In actuality, I do not think these defense are what they are cracked up to be. Both have taken advantage of playing some pretty bad offenses. Utah St. played the 76,112,109,113,and 80th ranked offenses and BYU played 84,86,112,72 and 114. So theres that. I don’t think either defense is as impressive as they actually look.

      I lean Utah St. because they can actually score. I’ve watched 2 BYU games now this year, and I’m not impressed with their offense, at all. They try and do too much with their QBs, who both are not good. I think the fact that Utah St. is somewhat decent on O, they will be able to keep it close.

      BYU is a very tough place to play so that factors in. At this point, Utah St. is getting a TD in a game I think will actually be pretty close.

      Thanks for stopping by.

  4. Falcon says:

    thank you.. already had Utah St +7, just wanted to see what you liked.. congrats on a very nice season thus far..

  5. Seth says:

    The Ole Miss line keeps on climbing. Is the public all over TAMU?

    • Snow says:

      Yep. Doesn’t mean they’re right. This game was one of the first I looked at, at +11. I’ve watched most of their games this year and am in complete agreement with Sabert. Ole Miss can win this game if they limit the turnovers. Regardless, it should be close.

      • Sab SabertStxVii says:

        Public all over A&M after seeing what A&M did last week and the appearance that OleMiss has no D. Gobble it up at 14 if you can. Jealous I can’t quite get it there at this point.

  6. Falcon says:

    Any comments on Tex Tech +4 today or West Virginia +7

    thanks

    • Sab SabertStxVii says:

      Lean Oklahoma at -4 but you just have no idea what you are going to get from them on O so I stayed away.

      With regard to WVU, I lean Texas because they can make WVU one dimensional especially with the WVU RB out. I just hate going up against an offense that easily can backdoor you and win outright if needed.

      Thanks for the comments Falcon.

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