Alamo Bowl – Iowa State vs Washington State UNDER 56.5
247 Iowa State/Washington State UNDER 56.5
My projected number for this game is 53.08, so I believe we have a nice edge at 56.5 (with 55 being a key number).
Wazzu likes to throw the ball under Mike Leach, ranking first in the country at 380 yards per game. However, Iowa State faced high-powered passing offense nearly every week in the Big 12 and they were the ranked second on the conference in pass defense allowing 228.8 ypg, so the Cougar offense shouldn’t be anything new to the Cyclones.
And with extra time to prepare, I believe the Iowa State defense should be able to slow down the Cougars. Washington State has struggled to score in their past three bowl games under Leach, scoring 17 points against Michigan State last year, 12 points against Minnesota in 2016 and 20 against Miami in 2015.
On the flip side the Washington State defense has been surprisingly good all season allowing 346.6 yards per game and 23.1 points per game, both good for 4th in the PAC 12.
Iowa State ranks 104th in the country in total offense at 359 yards per game and 82nd in points per game (26.8 pg). The Cyclones only average 63.50 plays per game and they run the ball 56.21% of the time. So I look for Iowa State to lean on their run game, control the clock and limit scoring opportunities for both teams.