New York Yankees/Minnesota Twins:

The New York Yankees will look to rebound after a meltdown at Target Field last night, and the task seems easy enough in what appears to be a significant pitching mismatch tonight.

While Luis Severino has had a very poor second half of 2018 in comparison to his first half and 2017 numbers, this will be a good setting for the flamethrower coming into a higher altitude park. The Yankees Ace has seen the majority of his recent games in sea level parks, so expect him to get a little spark in this one. The last two times Severino pitched in a stadium altitude above 500 feet, he went 7 innings with quality starts in each. Last night, Yankees starter Sonny Gray set the tone with a bad start, and the team’s pitching unraveled from there onward. Expect a better overall performance from the Yankees pitching staff today. 

Although the Minnesota Twins are clearly at a statistical disadvantage, this is a game that veteran off speed pitcher Jake Odorizzi will get up for. Though Jake has been very mediocre in his debut season with the Twins, he may have the splitter pitch to his advantage against a New York team that may be a little jittery today in their rebound attempt, especially with Oakland right on their tails. I think Odorizzi’s pitching style will keep the eager bats humble tonight. 

It may also be noted that for whatever reason, Jake Odorizzi has received horrible run support as of late. The Twins have scored an average of just 3.1 runs in the last nine games that he has pitched. I expect this game to remain stale in the late stages as well, with two readily available bullpens. 

UNDER 8.5 +108  1.5*

Diamondbacks/Rockies:

The Arizona Diamondbacks and Colorado Rockies will both look to one up the other, as they are currently tied in this Coors Field Series at one win a piece. Today, we have two tight arsenals going head to head. 

Patrick Corbin, who operates mainly on a sinker/slider duo, has been among the most consistent pitchers in baseball this year. He has quietly dominated with a 3.01 ERA this season despite staying well under the radar and spending a large portion of his starts in hitter friendly ballparks. Corbin has proven to be a very versatile pitcher that can pitch under almost any circumstances, and is actually putting together better numbers than ever in his career so far. As par for the course, I expect Corbin to give his chance to win like usual. the Diamondbacks are 17-12 this year in games that Corbin has pitched. 

Jon Gray will be starting for the Rockies, and he has a pretty standard Colorado altitude arsenal that relies mainly on a high velocity four seamer backed up by a slider and an occasional curve and change up. While this may be an effective style for Coors, it will be a style that the Diamondbacks are very familiar with. This also carries over into facing the bullpen, who are mainly pitchers who rely on stuff too. Arizona faced a classic tight arsenal last night, and carry over a +6.60 Visual Memory index, which means that they can be dangerous against the fastball today. 

As long as the Diamondbacks are in their natural form and not getting too rattled by pressure (which Colorado must also endure), expect Arizona to see the ball very well throughout nine innings. 

Diamondbacks moneyline -107  1.5*