College Football is here!

One of the most highly anticipated weeks of the sports gambling year is here and we will have football every weekend and weekday(MACtion!) for the next 4 months.

Last year was my first time writing for a website and I started midway through the year. my final record was 35-31. I kept it to flat betting(every bet being the same amount) to keep everything simple as I started late. My personal philosophy is to not flat bet. I believe one game does have more value and edge than another and you need to bet so accordingly.

This year, I will experiment with a method that resembles my own. I will be betting in dollars so each bet will have a dollar amount allocated to it.  my minimum bet will be $100 and my normal maximum bet will be $500. I may go over the $500 amount maybe a handful of times but they will be for games that I absolutely love. I will not be chasing and making 10 $500 bets at the end of the year if I am down. I will do my best to be honorable as the goal is to make everyone money.

Disclaimer: you will not find many stats and trends in my posts. I have not a #’s guy. I use them at times to validate my thoughts and if there is something I don’t see, then I will use them as well. My method is I watch ALOT of football. I know my football. I spend alot of times watching the trenches where football is won and lost. i will go over games after they are done.  I feel pulling up stats only without watching games is the laziest form of sports gambling.  if you want to follow a trend, you can do that. But the amount of turnover in College Football almost hurts every trend or historical data.  Trends matter when the variables(i.e players/coaches) are mostly similar. Example: Using UCF passing stats when Blake Bortles was the QB to this year. He is not there, how would DiNovo coorelate with Bortles in anyway? He wouldn’t.

The books I would recommend to bet with are 5dimes, Pinnacle(non US), BetOnline, BetDSI(BetCris for non US), TheGreek. 5dimes probably has the best in-game options. I do alot of in-game betting, I feel the edge is great there so follow my twitter account and I will tweet out plays there. I will not use in-game plays on Twitter for my record. Sportsbookreview.com is very reliable and gives great reviews on sportsbooks if you are looking for one.

The Plays:

California +11 at Northwestern  risking $267.50 to win $250

Here is a rematch from last year’s opener. Northwestern beat Cal by 2 TD’s in what was a very interesting game. Everything was pointing toward NW here. They were fully healthy, which was a problem throughout the year for them.  They had team continuity on their side as well and were a trendy team in the Big Ten. Cal on the other hand had a new head coach and freshmen QB playing in his first game. The game played back and forth with both offenses moving the ball but Jared Goff throwing 2 Pick 6’s in the final 25 minutes and NW scoring from their own 3 yard line with 3 minutes left due to some huge runs to make the score larger than the game actually played. Jared Goff shredded NW defense for 450 yds in that game in his first start in college.

My thoughts on this year. I look at Cal’s offense and I see similar production to last year’s offense. they return alot of key parts to the offense in addition to being in Sonny Dykes offense for 2 years. You usually see offenses getting more efficient in the 2nd year of being in it. Can’t really write any good things about the Cal defense, they were really really bad. However, how much worse can you get??? I think Cal defense will play better than last year, just for the fact that they cannot play worse. A good reason tho is their new D- Co-ordinator Art Kaufman. He has shown that he can revamp defenses quickly.

LATE ADD: KENT ST -2.5 risking $214 to win $200. Added on Twitter at 2:43 am Saturday morning.

if you have any questions, feel free to add me on twitter @jimmysingh9 and send me a tweet. I will always answer your questions the moment I see them. I will do my best to be informative.