Texas -9.5 over Iowa St

I have Iowa St as the worst team in the Big 12. They have showed poorly in their first two games and was actually lucky that they ended up a team that is worse than them in Tulsa this past week.  Texas comes in with a win at home over Kansas St and coming off a bye where they can hopefully build things leading up to their Red River Rivalry matchup in two weeks. I said before the Kansas St game that that was the last chance for Texas to right the ship as they were just starting Big 12 play and it’s their last motivational chip on the season. They will look to build on that momentum here and hopefully this is long enough away that they are not looking ahead to Oklahoma. Iowa St is the perfect matchup for Texas. They really present them no problems, They will not be able to spread it out and beat Texas with any speed. Texas should dominate the trenches big time here and I really seem this being a stroll in the park. The books will give us value with the traditional Thursday night home dog trend, but it shouldn’t do any good here.

UCLA -4 over Utah

I have this UCLA team as a top 10 team in the country and they are also coming off a bye going to Utah. This is a typical game where I could see the Thursday night home crowd helping out Utah a bit but Utah doesn’t have the players or the schemes to keep up with UCLA in the end. Their defense isn’t elite at all and will give up big plays and their offense is still a little stagnant to me even though they have scored a handful of points. This opens up Pac 12 play for UCLA and they should be ready for a hostile crowd. They showed me alot coming of a death of a teammate and going into one of the worst spots of the year where Nebraska had revenge factor in addition for it being a 9am PST start for UCLA. UCLA started slow there but then just blasted Nebraska. I think that game will help them deal with any road woes and I see UCLA opening it up in the 2nd half and winning quite easily.

Oklahoma -10.5 over TCU

Write-up to follow