2013 BIG TEN BETTING PROSPECTUS
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The Betting Prospectus is jam-packed with betting information for the 2013 season. Which teams are most likely to win each division, which teams will be good or bad ATS and who is more likely to be a good OVER or UNDER team.
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- Previous Risk Management Series – Part 3: How Much to Bet
- Next Understanding Line Movement & Betting Volume
Just curious why you think that the MSU game at ND is a sure loss. Even with possibly one of the best defense in the country this year are you figuring that MSU just won’t score enough points at ND? Figuring that the defense won’t travel to South Bend?
Kellen, thank you for the comment. I actually debated whether or not to make that one a 50/50 “toss up” game, and considering it is only a 5.5 to 6 spread on the GOY lines, I probably should have.
I have Michigan/Ohio State as a “toss-up” despite a similar spread … though Michigan will be at home.
My main reason(s) for making the ND game a loss was that as you point out, I definitely believe Sparty will struggle on offense against what should be a very good Irish D.
The ND offense will also struggle against an elite MSU D, but unless Sparty get’s some kind of help from their offense, they are likely not going to be able to score enough points (like last year)
Of the 4 “toss-up” road games I put down on their schedule, I thought ND was the best team/most difficult game.
Great perspective, I agree with you that ND is the best of the “toss up” games on the road. And I know it is smart to see how teams have done in the past, but I just can’t see them losing to Iowa with an extra week to prepare after the ND game. Offense will definitely struggle, only hope they have would be to score on defense when playing ND. Thanks for the quick reply.