SEC Game Of The Year picks for 2013
Last week the Golden Nugget released point spreads for 250 college football Games Of The Year. Here are some of my thoughts on a few of the SEC game of the year picks for 2013.
Tags AlabamaArkansasGeorgiaMississippiOle MissRutgersTennesseeTexas A & MVanderbilt
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10 thoughts on “SEC Game Of The Year picks for 2013”
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MAXIMIZE YOUR EDGE
Missouri at Georgia because the game was close last year and Missouri knows exactly what they have to do to make the game turn the other way this year. South Carolina at Missouri because the series winner tends to go back and forth. Florida at Missouri, because Missouri qb Franklin threw 4 interceptions last year and it’s probable that he will to into the game focused like a laser beam, and throwing like one as well.
Guessing you’re a Mizzou fan? They should be solid this year. I think they caught UGA in a tough spot last year and almost pulled it off. They dealt with alot of injuries and had a rough intro to the SEC. Unfortunately, I don’t think they have an easier schedule this year, but a healthy Franklin will certainly be a good start.
I do agree, being on Mizzou when SC comes could be some value, but I can’t put anything down on the tema yet til I see how they look this year, because of how rough of a 2012 they had.
Thanks for the comment.
Really? Ole Miss over Vandy on West End? Given the marked improvements that Vandy has made over the past three years, I don’t think that they’ll lose the season opener to Ole Miss at home. Granted, Ole Miss is a great team also on the rise, but I think Vanderbilt is a year ahead of Ole Miss in terms of improvement. To say that Ole Miss is “Hands Down” the better team, I disagree with. Vanderbilt also has greater momentum from last season going into the game. Most of their #1 Recruitment Class won’t be a factor, anyway.
Ole Miss is the better team this year. They return 19 of 22 starters from a team that went 6 and 6 last year, and went down to the wire with A&M, LSU, and Vandy. Ole Miss returns every single skill player on offense and adds a few. They have all but one OL returning. It will also be the 2nd year in Freeze new system. Vandy loses their QB and their schools all time leading rusher.
On defense, Vandy loses basically all things good up front, but return a hell of a secondary. Ole Miss returns mostly everything up front, and an entire young secondary, with some new JUCO players, such as Nick Brassell, who already has SEC experience, to help bolster their weaker unit.
I’m not saying Vandy is going to be bad, I just think Ole Miss will have a better chance of coming out of the gate quick, and have the revenge factor for losing on a broken coverage play last year in the last 30 seconds of the game. And momentum won’t play a factor, Ole Miss made a bowl and crushed Pitt in the bowl game, and has the momentum from the huge recruiting too if you want to count that.
In the end, its 18-22 year old kids…momentum, motivation, etc. play a very negligible part in the first game of the season; everyone will be pumped to play.
Interestnig thoughts but may want to consult your team info a little deeper, A&M lost 2 LBs and returns the leading LB tackler, A&M lost 2 DBs, returns 3 and has 5 that started several games, more importantly has two freshman that will vie for starting jobs. A&Ms pass defense will be amongst the best if not the best in the SEC this year which is a very bad thing for opposing teams as they will have to pass to stay in the same Zip Code as A&M once the Aggies start Lighting it up. I’ll take you bet on the spread, but I’ll do you 1 better, I’ll give you Bama and 6.
84Aggie – thanks for the comment, guessing youre a pretty big aTm fan.
My apologies for getting some of the position analysis a bit wrong. I am consulting Phil Steele for returning players, and really haven’t gotten too deep in the type of talent that will be returning.
Regardless, having 2 freshman vying for a starting job that will be playing against Alabama in their 3rd game is definitely not a good thing. I disagree that their pass defense will be among the best in the SEC.
Last year A&M was one of the worst teams in the country allowing big plays through the air. They were 83rd in the nation in allowing pass plays of 10+ yards, 83rd in 20+ yards, 50th in 30+ yards and 108th in 50+ yards. You are correct about returning a secondary that has experience, but that stat will have to improve.
I believe you are wrong about them returning their leading tackler as well. Damontre Moore led the team with 71 tackles last year, then Jonathan Stewart with 63.5. Both will not be returning. Steve Jenkins had 57, and will be returning.
Containing Johnny will continue to be a problem for every team. I will have an article up shortly on why I think Bama favored by 6 is the right line, and it has to do with Bama’s NFL OL and NFL RB and NFL QB and NFL WR against a decent but not awesome defense and of course Nick Saban.
If you still wish to give me Bama +6 the week before the game, please let me know – I will gladly take it.
Regarding Bama at TAMU, where do you see this line moving? A part of me thinks if Alabama blows out Virginia Tech, which the spread certainly implies, this line will move past a td. However, I also think that with Johnny Football being a public figure and all that public money will come in on TAMU. I’ll be in Vegas for this game, worth waiting until game day to bet or is the 6 value?
Thanks for the comment Seth – the line will almost inevitably move in Bama backers favor, so I don’t see value in hitting it right now if you want Bama. I don’t see it move past a TD.
I totally agree that Bama smokes VT and probably covers the 17 point spread (barely), but as you said, aTm has a lot in their favor too.
Most people (the public) will look at last years game, and how close it was, and how aTm won, and how aTm could have been the best team at the end of the season last year in the nation, and money will come in on the Aggies. I think this one probably closes around 3.5/4 favoring Bama, and possibly even lower.
aTm starts the season vs Rice and Sam Houston St, both teams they will put up 50 on.
Wait on this one and enjoy getting the better # in Vegas.
Ole Miss at Vandy. Looks as if the number has settled at Ole Miss -3 for the time being. If this contest was on a neutral site the number would be much higher, 6 or maybe even 7. Not a fan of road chalk here.
Agreed on this Doug. I could not believe that Ole Miss was a dog when this one opened. I had them being about 2.5-3.5 point favorites in this one, right where it is settling.
I do think the Rebs could win by a TD or more, but no value on the road dogs in this one.